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SayWhat
02-19-2010, 12:02 PM
What considerations should I take into account for a one-time gamble that will not be repeated?
I can get some idea of the odds, but
a wrong decision could be catastrophic,
I have to place the bet now if I'm going to bet at all, and
the results of the gamble may not be known for 20 or 30 years.

omega
02-24-2010, 09:04 AM
In this case I doubt that pobability will be of much help. If the risk is big then bet small.